But Vatanka also says that “if Iran genuinely wants permanent peace, they have to put on the table serious concessions, not just on the nuclear issue, but essentially something that talks about preparedness to be normalizing relations with the U.S.”
Vatanka calls many of Iran’s demands, such as the proposals for U.S. military withdrawal and reparations, ”wishful thinking.”.
When it comes to the U.S. side, Parsi says that people may be surprised by what Trump is willing to accept to get out of the war.
“I think Trump will end up accepting that the Iranians will have—together with the Omani—some sort of a collection system, a toll system in the Strait of Hormuz, as long as they keep the strait open,” he says. The White House has said Trump is opposed to tolls being imposed on ships passing through the strait.
“The big challenge there is that the Iranians can use that just as much for rebuilding critical infrastructure and bridges and steel plants and energy facilities as they could for missile programs, drones and the arms industry,” says Seth G. Jones, president of the Defense and Security Department at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), about the proceeds of such a toll system.
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