So Democrats plan to be more aggressive on the redistricting front ahead of 2028, and taking advantage of a favorable election environment in 2026 is key. Williams tells me her committee sees hundreds of statehouse seats as flippable this fall. Of those, just 19 targeted races would deliver Democrats a trifecta—the governorship and majorities in the state House and Senate—in four states: Arizona, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin. That would open the doors to Democratic-led redistricting should those state houses choose to go down that path.
In other words, fewer than two dozen small-time races for seats in Madison, Wis., Lansing, Mich., and the like stand to sway control of the U.S. House in 2028 and beyond, according to DLCC’s analysis. It’s a plan that, if executed well, could make life very difficult for as many as 51 Republican House members, whose districts could be carved up to give Democrats’ nakedly partisan advantages.
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